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Housing Crisis or Opportunity? Only history will show.

by Caroline Jensen
Sunday, October 28, 2007. 04:41PM
279 Views 2 Comments

Looking at the last 40 years of real estate in California, we have seen very few times in which real estate values have dropped. In fact, according to the California Association of Realtors, since 1970 the real estate market in California has only dropped seven times, six times under 3.7% and only once at 4.5%. On the contrary, our market has seen markable growth. In 1970, the median cost of a singlefamily home in California was $26,000. Today, 37 years later, homes have seen a 2,165% increase, now selling for $588,970.

Historically, Sacramento County Has Enjoyed Even Stronger Success

According to the California Association of Realtors, in 1989 the median price of a single-family home in Sacramento County was $95,970. Today, just 18 years later, that same single family home is selling for $332,509 - a 246% increase. Certainly in recent months we have seen a shift from a seller's market to a buyer's market but that switch was necessary to continue a healthy flow of exchange amongst buyers and sellers. The bottom line is that our economy couldn't maintain the double digit increases we saw in home prices in 2003 and 2004 without seeing a shift. If we continued to see an upstream of that magnitude we would nearly eliminate the first-time home buyers which could potentially drastically hinder our economy. Shifts in our market are what keep our economy running smoothly.

Is Now the Time to Buy?

Now may be the time to buy: mortgage rates remain low (certainly by historical standards), prices have stabilized and there is a large selection of homes to choose from. Certainly it makes a more exciting news story for journalists to dwell on the negative, but for smart consumers it is definitely more economically advantageous to seize opportunities as they present themselves. And this market may offer some tremendous opportunities. While no one can predict the future, if history is any indication, then real estate over the long run will continue to be a solid investment. And that's good news for everyone - buyers, sellers and the real estate industry. If you are ready to make an informed and educated decision about real estate, please contact me today. I would be happy to help you.

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Saturday, December 15, 2007. 11:58PM by Steve Hull
Caroline, I enjoyed our brief conversation last spring about commercial and residential real estate. I did not go into either industry, but I do intend on obtaining a real estate license, more for the knowledge like you provided here. Then when I come to you or whatever area I'm in and buy my first house, my needs will be better conveyed to an agent. Thanks for this post, and keep in touch! -Steve Hull, class of 2007
Friday, November 2, 2007. 06:59AM by Jim Corbett
Nice piece Caroline.....I think that if you are in the market to buy and as long as you intend to stay at least 5 years, buy as much house as you can now....you will be just fine.....try to buy unemotionally and pick at least three houses/locations that work for you...and make your deal, not the seller deal....also have an exeperienced agent help you negotiate the deal.......good luck....jim Corbett